METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
12 May 2018
Welterweight
VS
44%
Santos
56%
Strickland
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 3:40
Elizeu
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
25 – 10
5'11"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Sean
Sean Strickland
31 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 58
β˜… Official Result
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantoswinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 3:40
def. Sean Strickland Β· UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Strickland
β†’
Actual result
Santos wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Santos at 44% vs Strickland at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Strickland has a chin rating of 46 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SantosStrickland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Santos
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
73"
Reach
+76"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.3
57.7
49.3
Performance Avg
50.9
39
Quality of Victory
37
45
Momentum Score
100
Santos
Strickland
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
4.5
5.7
Style: Volume
6.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
13
2
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance13
0Clinch1
6Ground0
Santos
Strickland
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
18/35 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Santos
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
45
100
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
2-fight πŸ”₯ win streak
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R5
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Santos
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
46%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Strickland
Striking4.9 / 4.2Volume5.7 / 6.8Grappling2.0 / 2.0Wrestling1.4 / 1.4Submission0.9 / 0.6Pressure5.1 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Santos
Strike Zones
Strickland
Santos
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY4LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Strickland
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY4LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (60% of attacks) β€” Strickland absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (93% of attacks) β€” Santos absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Santos Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Neil Magny
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park Β· 2025-08
L Β· KO Β· R2
Chidi Njokuani
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 Β· 2025-03
W Β· KO Β· R1
Zachary Scroggin
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates Β· 2024-11
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Randy Brown
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Β· 2024-06
Upcoming
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis Β· 2023-11

Strickland Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R5
Khamzat Chimaev
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland Β· 2026-05
W Β· KO Β· R3
Anthony Hernandez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez Β· 2026-02
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Dricus Du Plessis
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 Β· 2025-02
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Paulo Costa
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Β· 2024-06
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Dricus Du Plessis
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis Β· 2024-01

News & Media

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos Β· Sean Strickland
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