UFC 74: Respect
Las Vegas, USA
25 Aug 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Sobral
48%
Heath
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:30
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sobral
This is a genuine toss-up — Sobral at 52% vs Heath at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sobral has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sobral's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Heath has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sobral
Heath
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
72"
50
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sobral
Heath
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
14.0
49.2
Performance Avg
39.7
42
Quality of Victory
40
26
Momentum Score
28
Sobral
Heath
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.5
55%
Strike Accuracy
28%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
1
4
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch0
25Ground1
Sobral
Heath
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sobral
Heath
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/48 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Sobral
Heath
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
28
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Sobral
Heath
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sobral
Heath
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
SobralHeath
Strike Zones
Sobral
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHeath
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sobral targets the head (81% of attacks) — Heath absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Heath targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sobral absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sobral
RND
Heath
0/0R00/0
Sobral · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Heath · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Sobral · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
David HeathRating 5.2Submission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · KO · R2
Jason LambertRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
W · Sub · R1
Mike van ArsdaleRating 5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10
Heath · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
L · Sub · R2
Renato SobralRating 2.8Submission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
W · Dec · R3
Victor ValimakiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
W · Sub · R1
Cory WalmsleyRating 5Submission
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08