METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 74: Respect
Las Vegas, USA
25 Aug 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Sobral
48%
Heath
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:30
★ Official Result
Renato SobralwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:30
def. David Heath · UFC 74: Respect
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sobral
→
Actual result
Sobral wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sobral at 52% vs Heath at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Sobral's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Heath has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SobralHeath
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sobral
Heath
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
72"
51
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sobral
Heath
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
14.0
49.2
Performance Avg
39.7
42
Quality of Victory
40
26
Momentum Score
28
Sobral
Heath
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
4.7
3.9
Style: Volume
4.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
1
4
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch0
25Ground1
Sobral
Heath
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
4
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sobral
Heath
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/48 fights
Chin rating based on
5/25 fights
Sobral
Heath
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
28
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Sobral
Heath
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sobral
Heath
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
SobralHeath
Strike Zones
Sobral
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHeath
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sobral targets the head (81% of attacks) — Heath absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Heath targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sobral absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sobral
RND
Heath
0/0R00/0
Sobral · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
David HeathSubmission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · KO · R2
Jason LambertKO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellKO/TKO
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
W · Sub · R1
Mike van ArsdaleSubmission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenSubmission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10
Heath · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tim BoetschKO/TKO
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
L · Sub · R2
Renato SobralSubmission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaDecision
UFC 70: Nations Collide · 2007-04
W · Dec · R3
Victor ValimakiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
W · Sub · R1
Cory WalmsleySubmission
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08