UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2022
Welterweight
VS
60%
Rakhmonov
40%
Harris
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:10
Shavkat
Shavkat Rakhmonov
"Nomad"
19 – 0
6'1"77" reachOrthodox31 yrs7-fight win streakSubmission Hunter
CFR 76
Carlston
Carlston Harris
"Mocambique"
19 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'0"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rakhmonov

Rakhmonov holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Harris has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Harris throws more volume but Rakhmonov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Harris has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rakhmonov
Harris
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
76"
31+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rakhmonov
Harris
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
76.4
50.5
68.5
Performance Avg
50.5
48
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
51
Rakhmonov
Harris
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
64%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
3
3
Body
6
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance8
0Clinch2
4Ground0
Rakhmonov
Harris
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
4.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rakhmonov
Harris
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
34
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Rakhmonov
Harris
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
7-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Rakhmonov
Harris
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rakhmonov
Harris
Striking3.4 / 3.6Volume3.1 / 3.1Grappling6.1 / 4.6Wrestling4.2 / 3.2Submission7.1 / 5.0Pressure9.0 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
4.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
7.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
Rakhmonov
Strike Zones
Harris
Rakhmonov
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD6BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Harris
Attacking
3HEAD6BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rakhmonov targets the head (77% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Harris targets the body (60% of attacks) — Rakhmonov absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rakhmonov
RND
Harris
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rakhmonov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W5.2W5.8W5.9W6.5W5.8W6.0W2020-102022-022023-032024-12
WinLossTrend

Harris · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W3.6L5.0W6.9W2.9L4.5L2021-052022-022023-082025-01
WinLossTrend

Rakhmonov · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Ian Machado GarryRating 6
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R2
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.8
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R3
Geoff NealRating 6.5
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Sub · R2
Neil MagnyRating 5.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · KO · R1
Carlston HarrisRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02

Harris · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Santiago PonzinibbioRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Khaos WilliamsRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Sub · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 6.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · KO · R1
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02

News & Media

Shavkat Rakhmonov · Carlston Harris
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