Shavkat Rakhmonov vs Carlston Harris — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland

Las Vegas, USA

5 Feb 2022

Welterweight

59%

Rakhmonov

41%

Harris

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 4:10

Shavkat Rakhmonov

"Nomad"

19 – 0

6'1"77" reachOrthodox31 yrs7-fight win streakSubmission Hunter

CFR 69

Carlston Harris

"Mocambique"

19 – 7

Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'0"

CFR 48

★ Official Result

Shavkat RakhmonovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:10

def. Carlston Harris · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Rakhmonov

→

Actual result

Rakhmonov wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rakhmonov at 59% vs Harris at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Harris has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

RakhmonovHarris

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Rakhmonov

Harris

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

6'0"

77"+

Reach

76"

31+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Rakhmonov

Harris

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

68.8

47.5

68.5

Performance Avg

47.6

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Rakhmonov

Harris

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.4

/ 10

3.5

/ 10

9.0

Style: Pressure

6.8

3.1

Style: Volume

3.0

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

9Distance8

0Clinch2

4Ground0

Rakhmonov

Harris

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.1

/ 10

4.6

/ 10

4.2

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.2

7.1

Submission Style (/10)

5.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Rakhmonov

Harris

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

100

Never stopped

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.7 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/19 fights

Chin rating based on

8/26 fights

Rakhmonov

Harris

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

7-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R5

W · Sub · R2

W · Sub · R3

W · Sub · R2

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R3

Rakhmonov

Harris

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

86%

75%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rakhmonov

Harris

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.4

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.5

6.1

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.6

4.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.2

7.1

Submission

Submission attack frequency

5.0

9.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.8

3.1

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.0

Rakhmonov

Strike Zones

Harris

Rakhmonov

Attacking

13 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Harris

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

13 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Rakhmonov targets the head (77% of attacks) — Harris absorbs 77% of strikes there

🎯Harris targets the body (60% of attacks) — Rakhmonov absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rakhmonov

RND

Harris

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Rakhmonov · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Ian Machado Garry

Decision

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Submission

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Geoff Neal

Submission

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Neil Magny

Submission

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Carlston Harris

KO/TKO

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Harris · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Jake Matthews

Decision

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KO/TKO

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Khaos Williams

KO/TKO

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Jeremiah Wells

Submission

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Jared Gooden

Decision

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News & Media

Shavkat Rakhmonov · Carlston Harris

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