METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
67%
Davis
33%
Kaufman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:07
★ Official Result
Alexis DaviswinsSubmissionR2 · 3:07
def. Sarah Kaufman · UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Davis
→
Actual result
Davis wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Davis holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Kaufman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Davis's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DavisKaufman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Davis
Kaufman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
66"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Kaufman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
10.6
39.7
Performance Avg
28.3
28
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
27
Davis
Kaufman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
1.0
8.1
Style: Volume
8.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
5
Body
3
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Davis
Kaufman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Davis
Kaufman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Davis
Kaufman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
27
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Davis
Kaufman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Kaufman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
DavisKaufman
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedKaufman
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (36% of attacks) — Kaufman absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Kaufman targets the head (69% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Kaufman
0/0R00/0
Davis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoDecision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Kaufman · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Valentina ShevchenkoDecision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Sub · R2
Alexis DavisSubmission
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Dec · R3
Leslie SmithDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
Upcoming
Jessica EyeUFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10