UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
67%
Davis
33%
Kaufman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:07
AD
Alexis Davis
21 – 11
5'6"68" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
SK
Sarah Kaufman
18 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'5"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Davis

Davis holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Kaufman has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kaufman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Davis's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Davis
Kaufman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
66"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Kaufman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
10.6
39.7
Performance Avg
28.3
28
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
27
Davis
Kaufman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
5
Body
3
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Davis
Kaufman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Kaufman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Davis
Kaufman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
27
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Davis
Kaufman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Davis
Kaufman
Striking1.1 / 0.7Volume8.1 / 8.7Grappling3.1 / 2.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.7Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure2.6 / 1.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Davis
Strike Zones
Kaufman
Davis
Attacking
5HEAD5BODY4LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD3BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Kaufman
Attacking
11HEAD3BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD5BODY4LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (36% of attacks) — Kaufman absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Kaufman targets the head (69% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Davis
RND
Kaufman
0/0R00/0

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.2W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.8L5.5L6.2L4.5W5.5L4.8W2013-062015-042018-072021-062022-02
WinLossTrend

Kaufman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W2.8L6.9L2014-042015-042015-12
WinLossTrend

Davis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

Kaufman · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Sub · R2
Alexis DavisRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Dec · R3
Leslie SmithRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
Upcoming
Jessica Eye
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10

News & Media

Alexis Davis · Sarah Kaufman
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