METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Montreal, Canada
25 Apr 2015
Women's Bantamweight
VS
67%
Davis
33%
Kaufman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:07
★ Official Result
Alexis DaviswinsSubmissionR2 · 3:07
def. Sarah Kaufman · UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Davis
→
Actual result
Davis wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Davis holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Kaufman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kaufman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Davis's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DavisKaufman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Davis
Kaufman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
68"+
Reach
66"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Kaufman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
10.6
39.7
Performance Avg
28.3
28
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
27
Davis
Kaufman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
11
5
Body
3
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
14Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Davis
Kaufman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Kaufman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Davis
Kaufman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
27
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Davis
Kaufman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Kaufman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
DavisKaufman
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedKaufman
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (36% of attacks) — Kaufman absorbs 36% of strikes there
🎯Kaufman targets the head (69% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Kaufman
0/0R00/0
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Kaufman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Davis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoRating 4.8Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Sabina MazoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Kaufman · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Sub · R2
Alexis DavisRating 2.8Submission
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Dec · R3
Leslie SmithRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
Upcoming
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