METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
Nashville, USA
5 Aug 2023
Flyweight
VS
46%
Osbourne
54%
Almabayev
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:11
★ Official Result
Asu AlmabayevwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:11
def. Ode Osbourne · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Almabayev
→
Actual result
Almabayev wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Osbourne at 46% vs Almabayev at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Osbourne has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Osbourne's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OsbourneAlmabayev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Osbourne
Almabayev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
73"+
Reach
65"
34
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Osbourne
Almabayev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
59.7
43.7
Performance Avg
55.5
45
Quality of Victory
34
87
Momentum Score
83
Osbourne
Almabayev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
5.6
4.0
Style: Volume
6.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Osbourne
Almabayev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Osbourne
Almabayev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/22 fights
Chin rating based on
8/26 fights
Osbourne
Almabayev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
83
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Osbourne
Almabayev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
43%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Osbourne
Almabayev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
OsbourneAlmabayev
Strike Zones
Osbourne
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedAlmabayev
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Osbourne targets the head (100% of attacks) — Almabayev absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Almabayev targets the head (60% of attacks) — Osbourne absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Osbourne
RND
Almabayev
0/0R00/0
Osbourne · Last 5
Upcoming
Alibi IdirisUFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · KO · R2
Luis GuruleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Ronaldo RodriguezDecision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
L · Sub · R1
Jafel FilhoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
Almabayev · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Charles JohnsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Sub · R3
Alex PerezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jose OchoaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Matheus NicolauDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10