METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
83%
Pennington
17%
Phillips
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Raquel PenningtonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Elizabeth Phillips · UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pennington
→
Actual result
Pennington wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pennington is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Pennington's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenningtonPhillips
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pennington
Phillips
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
67"+
Reach
65"
38+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Phillips
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
9.5
46.8
Performance Avg
25.0
32
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
17
Pennington
Phillips
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
3.7
Style: Pressure
0.8
7.5
Style: Volume
8.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Pennington
Phillips
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pennington
Phillips
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Pennington
Phillips
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
17
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pennington
Phillips
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
23%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Phillips
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
PenningtonPhillips
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPhillips
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (60% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Phillips targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Phillips
0/0R00/0
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
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Phillips · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Jessamyn DukeDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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