METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
83%
Pennington
17%
Phillips
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Raquel PenningtonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Elizabeth Phillips · UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pennington
→
Actual result
Pennington wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pennington is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pennington has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pennington's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenningtonPhillips
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pennington
Phillips
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
67"+
Reach
65"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Phillips
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
9.5
46.8
Performance Avg
25.0
32
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
17
Pennington
Phillips
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
29%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Pennington
Phillips
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pennington
Phillips
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Pennington
Phillips
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
17
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pennington
Phillips
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
23%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Phillips
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
PenningtonPhillips
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPhillips
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (60% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Phillips targets the head (100% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Phillips
0/0R00/0
Pennington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Phillips · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddRating 4.5Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Phillips · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1Decision
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Jessamyn DukeRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · Dec · R3
Milana DudievaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Valerie LetourneauRating 5.5Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06