METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale
Las Vegas, USA
15 Dec 2012
Welterweight
VS
56%
Waldburger
44%
Catone
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:04
★ Official Result
TJ WaldburgerwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:04
def. Nick Catone · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Waldburger
→
Actual result
Waldburger wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Waldburger at 56% vs Catone at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Waldburger has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Waldburger's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WaldburgerCatone
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Waldburger
Catone
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Waldburger
Catone
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
13.3
47.4
Performance Avg
38.7
46
Quality of Victory
31
50
Momentum Score
30
Waldburger
Catone
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
3.3
3.0
Style: Volume
7.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Waldburger
Catone
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.6
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
4.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.7
7.5
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Waldburger
Catone
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Waldburger
Catone
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Waldburger
Catone
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
25%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Waldburger
Catone
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
WaldburgerCatone
Strike Zones
Waldburger
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCatone
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Waldburger targets the head (100% of attacks) — Catone absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Catone targets the head (100% of attacks) — Waldburger absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Waldburger
RND
Catone
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Waldburger · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R1
Adlan AmagovKO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · Sub · R2
Nick CatoneSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleDecision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Jake HechtSubmission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
Catone · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Tom WatsonDecision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02
L · Sub · R2
TJ WaldburgerSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · R3
Chris CamozziUFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Dec · R3
Constantinos PhilippouDecision
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesse ForbesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01