UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
26 Jul 2025
Middleweight
VS
49%
Whittaker
51%
Ridder
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Robert
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27 – 9
6'0"73" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Reinier
Reinier de Ridder
"RdR"
21 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw78" reach6'4"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ridder

This is a genuine toss-up — Whittaker at 49% vs Ridder at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Whittaker throws more volume but Ridder connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Whittaker's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Whittaker
Ridder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+78"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Whittaker
Ridder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.4
55.7
56.0
Performance Avg
53.5
46
Quality of Victory
45
71
Momentum Score
53
Whittaker
Ridder
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
3
2
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance7
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Whittaker
Ridder
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Whittaker
Ridder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Whittaker
Ridder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Whittaker
Ridder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
35%
75%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Whittaker
Ridder
Striking5.0 / 3.8Volume6.6 / 3.3Grappling1.6 / 4.6Wrestling1.1 / 3.2Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.6 / 7.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Whittaker
Strike Zones
Ridder
Whittaker
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD6BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Ridder
Attacking
3HEAD6BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Whittaker targets the head (82% of attacks) — Ridder absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Ridder targets the body (67% of attacks) — Whittaker absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Whittaker
RND
Ridder
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Whittaker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.5W5.7L2.1L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.2W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W5.5W4.8W6.9L5.3W4.7L5.5W6.7W3.4L6.5L2012-122015-052018-062022-092025-07
WinLossTrend

Ridder · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0106.6W5.6W6.9W5.4W4.7L6.9L2024-112025-012025-052025-072025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Whittaker · Last 5

Upcoming
Nikita Krylov
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Reinier de RidderRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R1
Khamzat ChimaevRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R1
Ikram AliskerovRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

Ridder · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R4
Brendan AllenRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Bo NickalRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

News & Media

Robert Whittaker · Reinier de Ridder
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