METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
Newark, USA
18 Apr 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Anderson
52%
Villante
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:18
CA
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
145
6'3"79" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
GV
Gian Villante
1714
Well-Rounded4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Gian VillantewinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:18
def. Corey Anderson · UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Villante
Actual result
Villante wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Anderson at 48% vs Villante at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Anderson's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Villante has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
AndersonVillante
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Anderson
Villante
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
76"
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anderson
Villante
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
20.4
50.1
Performance Avg
40.8
39
Quality of Victory
42
98
Momentum Score
33
Anderson
Villante
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
6.5
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
5.2
6.9
Style: Volume
4.2
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
20
5
Body
0
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
34Distance24
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Anderson
Villante
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anderson
Villante
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
15/19 fights
Chin rating based on
18/31 fights
Anderson
Villante
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
33
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Anderson
Villante
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
57%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anderson
Villante
Striking4.3 / 6.5Volume6.9 / 4.2Grappling1.7 / 1.0Wrestling1.2 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Anderson
Strike Zones
Villante
Anderson
Attacking
29HEAD5BODY1LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Villante
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD5BODY1LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (83% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Villante targets the head (83% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anderson
RND
Villante
0/0R00/0

Anderson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jan Blachowicz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny Walker
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir Latifi
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover Teixeira
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick Cummins
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04

Villante · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Chris Barnett
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake Collier
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice Greene
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal Oleksiejczuk
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed Herman
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

News & Media

Corey Anderson · Gian Villante
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