UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
Newark, USA
18 Apr 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Anderson
52%
Villante
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:18
CA
Corey Anderson
"Overtime"
14 – 5
6'3"79" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 19
GV
Gian Villante
17 – 14
Well-Rounded4-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Villante

This is a genuine toss-up — Anderson at 48% vs Villante at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Anderson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anderson's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Villante has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Anderson
Villante
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
76"
36+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Anderson
Villante
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
20.4
50.1
Performance Avg
40.8
39
Quality of Victory
42
98
Momentum Score
33
Anderson
Villante
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
20
5
Body
0
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
34Distance24
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Anderson
Villante
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Anderson
Villante
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/19 fights
Chin rating based on
18/31 fights
Anderson
Villante
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
33
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Anderson
Villante
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
57%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Anderson
Villante
Striking4.3 / 6.5Volume6.9 / 4.2Grappling1.7 / 1.0Wrestling1.2 / 0.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Anderson
Strike Zones
Villante
Anderson
Attacking
29HEAD5BODY1LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY4LEGS24 absorbed
Villante
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY4LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD5BODY1LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Anderson targets the head (83% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Villante targets the head (83% of attacks) — Anderson absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Anderson
RND
Villante
0/0R00/0

Anderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W4.0L5.1W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W1.5L4.6L4.5W4.9W4.5W5.8W2.1L2014-072015-112017-032018-122020-02
WinLossTrend

Villante · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.1L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.7W2.5L4.0L5.5L3.8L2013-042015-072017-072020-062021-11
WinLossTrend

Anderson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04

Villante · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

News & Media

Corey Anderson · Gian Villante
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