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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Las Vegas, USA
9 Nov 2024
Welterweight
VS
43%
Semelsberger
57%
Radtke
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:51
Matthew
Matthew Semelsberger
"Semi The Jedi"
118
6'1"75" reachSwitch33 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
Charles
Charles Radtke
"Chuck Buffalo"
125
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 60
★ Official Result
Charles RadtkewinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:51
def. Matthew Semelsberger · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Radtke
Actual result
Radtke wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Semelsberger at 43% vs Radtke at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Radtke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Semelsberger's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Radtke has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SemelsbergerRadtke
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Semelsberger
Radtke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
72"
33+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Semelsberger
Radtke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.1
59.6
41.6
Performance Avg
54.4
39
Quality of Victory
43
84
Momentum Score
84
Semelsberger
Radtke
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Semelsberger
Radtke
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Semelsberger
Radtke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Semelsberger
Radtke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
84
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Semelsberger
Radtke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Semelsberger
Radtke
Striking4.9 / 5.4Volume5.7 / 4.6Grappling1.4 / 2.6Wrestling1.0 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure4.2 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Semelsberger
Strike Zones
Radtke
Semelsberger
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 absorbed
Radtke
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY1LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Semelsberger targets the head (50% of attacks) — Radtke absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Radtke targets the head (86% of attacks) — Semelsberger absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Semelsberger
RND
Radtke
0/0R00/0

Semelsberger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.0W6.9L5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5W6.9L5.8L5.5L2.7L2020-082021-092022-122024-012024-11
WinLossTrend

Radtke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.6W3.7L5.5W4.5L5.5W5.2W2023-092024-062025-052026-04
WinLossTrend

Semelsberger · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Charles RadtkeRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Preston ParsonsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R3
Uros MedicRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12

Radtke · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Sub · R3
Daniel FrunzaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Mike MalottRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

News & Media

Matthew Semelsberger · Charles Radtke
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