UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Las Vegas, USA
9 Nov 2024
Welterweight
VS
43%
Semelsberger
57%
Radtke
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:51
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Radtke
This is a genuine toss-up — Semelsberger at 43% vs Radtke at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Radtke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Semelsberger's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Radtke has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Semelsberger
Radtke
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
72"
33+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Semelsberger
Radtke
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.1
59.6
41.6
Performance Avg
54.4
39
Quality of Victory
43
84
Momentum Score
84
Semelsberger
Radtke
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Semelsberger
Radtke
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Semelsberger
Radtke
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/19 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Semelsberger
Radtke
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
84
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Semelsberger
Radtke
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Semelsberger
Radtke
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
SemelsbergerRadtke
Strike Zones
Semelsberger
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedRadtke
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Semelsberger targets the head (50% of attacks) — Radtke absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Radtke targets the head (86% of attacks) — Semelsberger absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Semelsberger
RND
Radtke
0/0R00/0
Semelsberger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Radtke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Semelsberger · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Charles RadtkeRating 2.7KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Francisco PradoRating 5.2Decision
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L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7KO/TKO
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