UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Salt Lake City, USA
20 Aug 2022
Flyweight
VS
69%
Albazi
31%
Figueiredo
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Albazi
Albazi holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Figueiredo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Albazi throws more volume but Figueiredo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Albazi
Figueiredo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Albazi
Figueiredo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.9
28.3
53.5
Performance Avg
43.7
42
Quality of Victory
40
82
Momentum Score
66
Albazi
Figueiredo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
63%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
1
Body
4
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
3Distance11
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Albazi
Figueiredo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.2
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Albazi
Figueiredo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Albazi
Figueiredo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
66
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Albazi
Figueiredo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Albazi
Figueiredo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
AlbaziFigueiredo
Strike Zones
Albazi
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedFigueiredo
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Albazi targets the head (83% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Figueiredo targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Albazi absorbs 45% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Albazi
RND
Figueiredo
0/0R00/0
Albazi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Figueiredo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Albazi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Dec · R5
Kai Kara-FranceRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Alessandro CostaRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
W · Sub · R1
Francisco FigueiredoRating 5Submission
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
Figueiredo · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Amir AlbaziRating 2.8Submission
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Sub · R1
Daniel LacerdaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Malcolm GordonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Jerome RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
