UFC 84: Ill Will
Las Vegas, USA
24 May 2008
Light Heavyweight
VS
59%
Silva
41%
Jardine
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:36
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 59% vs Jardine at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Jardine has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jardine has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Jardine
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
49+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Jardine
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.9
13.3
48.5
Performance Avg
40.0
53
Quality of Victory
36
72
Momentum Score
48
Silva
Jardine
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.8
37%
Strike Accuracy
41%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance1
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Silva
Jardine
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.5
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Jardine
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
6
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/48 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Silva
Jardine
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
48
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Jardine
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Jardine
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
SilvaJardine
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedJardine
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jardine absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jardine targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Jardine
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Jardine · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Brian StannRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Rich FranklinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
W · KO · R2
Cung LeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · KO · R1
Chris LebenRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
W · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 4.5Decision
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
Jardine · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10