UFC 20: Battle for the Gold
Birmingham, USA
7 May 1999
Lightweight
VS
93%
Mello
7%
Roberts
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:23
MM
Marcelo Mello
1 – 0
5'7"SouthpawNaNKnockout Artist
CFR 29
DR
David Roberts
5 – 8
Well-Rounded50 yrsOrthodox6'1"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mello

Mello is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Mello has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Mello
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'1"
—
Age
50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mello
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.0
2.2
76.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Mello
Roberts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.8
—
54%
Strike Accuracy
0%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Mello
Roberts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Mello
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1 fights
Chin rating based on
1/13 fights
Mello
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mello
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mello
Roberts
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume2.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Mello
Strike Zones
Roberts
Mello
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Roberts
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mello targets the head (86% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mello
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0

Mello · Last 1

W · KO · R1
David RobertsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 20: Battle for the Gold · 1999-05

Roberts · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Marcelo MelloRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 20: Battle for the Gold · 1999-05

News & Media

Marcelo Mello · David Roberts
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