METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 20: Battle for the Gold
Birmingham, USA
7 May 1999
Lightweight
VS
93%
Mello
7%
Roberts
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:23
★ Official Result
Marcelo MellowinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:23
def. David Roberts · UFC 20: Battle for the Gold
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mello
→
Actual result
Mello wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Mello is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mello has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MelloRoberts
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mello
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'1"
—
Age
50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mello
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.0
2.2
76.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Mello
Roberts
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
—
54%
Strike Accuracy
0%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Mello
Roberts
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Mello
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1 fights
Chin rating based on
1/13 fights
Mello
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mello
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mello
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MelloRoberts
Strike Zones
Mello
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mello targets the head (86% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mello
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
Mello · Last 1
W · KO · R1
David RobertsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 20: Battle for the Gold · 1999-05
Roberts · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Marcelo MelloRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 20: Battle for the Gold · 1999-05