UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Las Vegas, USA
10 Aug 2024
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Diniz
47%
Williams
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jhonata
Jhonata Diniz
9 – 2
6'4"79" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Karl
Karl Williams
10 – 2
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'3"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Diniz

This is a genuine toss-up — Diniz at 53% vs Williams at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Diniz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Diniz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Diniz
Williams
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
79"
Reach
79"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diniz
Williams
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.5
45.6
45.0
Performance Avg
45.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
74
Momentum Score
78
Diniz
Williams
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
60%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
1
Body
1
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Diniz
Williams
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Diniz
Williams
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Diniz
Williams
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
78
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Diniz
Williams
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Diniz
Williams
Striking4.5 / 1.5Volume6.5 / 9.5Grappling1.6 / 2.4Wrestling1.1 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 2.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.5
Diniz
Strike Zones
Williams
Diniz
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Williams
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Diniz targets the head (57% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Williams targets the head (60% of attacks) — Diniz absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Diniz
RND
Williams
0/0R00/0

Diniz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W5.0W5.1L4.5W4.7L2024-042024-082024-112025-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Williams · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W4.5W6.1W6.3L2023-032023-052024-032024-08
WinLossTrend

Diniz · Last 5

Upcoming
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KO/TKO
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Decision
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L · R2
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W · Dec · R3
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Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

Williams · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jhonata DinizRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Justin TafaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Chase ShermanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 4.5
Decision
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News & Media

Jhonata Diniz · Karl Williams
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