UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
Saitama, Japan
25 Feb 2012
Featherweight
VS
33%
Hioki
67%
Palaszewski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Palaszewski
Palaszewski holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Hioki has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Palaszewski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Striking split: Palaszewski throws more volume but Hioki connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hioki's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hioki
Palaszewski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hioki
Palaszewski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.0
18.3
30.0
Performance Avg
46.0
25
Quality of Victory
60
10
Momentum Score
36
Hioki
Palaszewski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.7
36%
Strike Accuracy
28%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
0
5
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
2Clinch1
14Ground0
Hioki
Palaszewski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hioki
Palaszewski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/39 fights
Chin rating based on
4/53 fights
Hioki
Palaszewski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
36
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Hioki
Palaszewski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hioki
Palaszewski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
HiokiPalaszewski
Strike Zones
Hioki
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPalaszewski
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hioki targets the head (69% of attacks) — Palaszewski absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Palaszewski targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hioki absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hioki
RND
Palaszewski
0/0R00/0
Hioki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Palaszewski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Hioki · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
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L · Sub · R2
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W · Dec · R3
Ivan MenjivarRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
Palaszewski · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Cole MillerRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
Hatsu HiokiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
W · KO · R1
Tyson GriffinRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10