UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
Las Vegas, USA
15 Jun 2024
Bantamweight
VS
53%
Andrade
47%
Johns
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Andrade
This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 53% vs Johns at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Andrade throws more volume but Johns connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johns has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Andrade
Johns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
68"
40
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Johns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.4
34.7
42.2
Performance Avg
41.8
37
Quality of Victory
33
28
Momentum Score
10
Andrade
Johns
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
15
1
Body
2
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance18
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Andrade
Johns
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Johns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
50
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/36 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Andrade
Johns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Andrade
Johns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Johns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
AndradeJohns
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedJohns
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (71% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Johns targets the head (83% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Johns
0/0R00/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Johns · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Javier ReyesRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
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UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
Johns · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Daniel MarcosRating 4Submission
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody GibsonRating 4.7Decision
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