UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title
New Orleans, USA
8 Jan 1999
Middleweight
VS
48%
Ortiz
52%
Bohlander
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bohlander
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 48% vs Bohlander at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ortiz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ortiz's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ortiz
Bohlander
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
74"
Reach
51+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Bohlander
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
22.1
57.3
Performance Avg
58.1
57
Quality of Victory
49
85
Momentum Score
74
Ortiz
Bohlander
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch1
2Ground0
Ortiz
Bohlander
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.9
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.9
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ortiz
Bohlander
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Ortiz
Bohlander
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
74
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R1
Ortiz
Bohlander
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
80%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Bohlander
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.9
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
8.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
OrtizBohlander
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedBohlander
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Bohlander absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Bohlander targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Bohlander
0/0R00/0
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Bohlander · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Bohlander · Last 5
L · R2
Tito OrtizRating 4.8UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01
W · Sub · R1
Kevin JacksonRating 5Submission
UFC 16: Battle in the Bayou · 1998-03
W · Sub · R1
Nick SanzoRating 5Submission
UFC 12: Judgement Day · 1997-02
W · Sub · R1
Rainy MartinezRating 5Submission
UFC 12: Judgement Day · 1997-02
W · Dec · R1
Fabio GurgelRating 4Decision
UFC 11: The Proving Ground · 1996-09