METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Las Vegas, USA
16 Nov 2013
Welterweight
VS
31%
MacDonald
69%
Lawler
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Robbie LawlerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rory MacDonald · UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lawler
→
Actual result
Lawler wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Lawler holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but MacDonald has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
MacDonald's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lawler has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MacDonaldLawler
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
MacDonald
Lawler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
74"
37+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
MacDonald
Lawler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
40.7
51.3
Performance Avg
51.0
39
Quality of Victory
45
61
Momentum Score
90
MacDonald
Lawler
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
6.5
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
5.5
5.8
Style: Volume
4.9
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
19
3
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
8Distance12
0Clinch1
5Ground9
MacDonald
Lawler
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
MacDonald
Lawler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/23 fights
Chin rating based on
25/46 fights
MacDonald
Lawler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
90
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
MacDonald
Lawler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
53%
3
KO / TKO Wins
8
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
MacDonald
Lawler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
MacDonaldLawler
Strike Zones
MacDonald
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedLawler
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (77% of attacks) — Lawler absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Lawler targets the head (86% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
MacDonald
RND
Lawler
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
MacDonald · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stephen ThompsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R5
Robbie LawlerKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R3
Tarec SaffiedineKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyDecision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaDecision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
Lawler · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Niko PriceKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
L · KO · R2
Bryan BarberenaKO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
W · KO · R3
Nick DiazKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08