METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Tybura
57%
Diniz
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Marcin TyburawinsR2 · 5:00
def. Jhonata Diniz · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diniz
→
Actual result
Tybura wins
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 43% vs Diniz at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TyburaDiniz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tybura
Diniz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
78"
Reach
+79"
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Diniz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.0
51.5
44.3
Performance Avg
45.0
37
Quality of Victory
35
43
Momentum Score
74
Tybura
Diniz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
4.5
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
4.1
5.7
Style: Volume
6.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
6
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance8
0Clinch0
24Ground0
Tybura
Diniz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tybura
Diniz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
6/11 fights
Tybura
Diniz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
74
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
W · Dec · R3
Tybura
Diniz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tybura
Diniz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
TyburaDiniz
Strike Zones
Tybura
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedDiniz
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the head (97% of attacks) — Diniz absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Diniz targets the head (75% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tybura
RND
Diniz
0/0R00/0
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Tyrell FortuneDecision
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Ante DelijaKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
Diniz · Last 5
Upcoming
Tanner BoserUFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Alvin HinesDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · R2
Marcin TyburaUFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08