UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jun 2023
Lightweight
VS
58%
Tsarukyan
42%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:25
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tsarukyan
This is a genuine toss-up — Tsarukyan at 58% vs Silva at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tsarukyan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Tsarukyan
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
72"+
Reach
69"
29+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Tsarukyan
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
67.5
47.9
58.4
Performance Avg
46.0
42
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
67
Tsarukyan
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.5
55%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
2
3
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
0Clinch3
28Ground0
Tsarukyan
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
1.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tsarukyan
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
30
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/26 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Tsarukyan
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
67
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Tsarukyan
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
43%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tsarukyan
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
TsarukyanSilva
Strike Zones
Tsarukyan
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSilva
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tsarukyan targets the head (91% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the body (60% of attacks) — Tsarukyan absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tsarukyan
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Tsarukyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Tsarukyan · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Dan HookerRating 6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Beneil DariushRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
W · KO · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Damir IsmagulovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
Silva · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · KO · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · KO · R2
Jesse RonsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

