★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Perth, Australia
17 Aug 2024
Middleweight
VS
54%
Plessis
46%
Adesanya
Win Probability
Submission
Round 4 · 3:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Plessis
This is a genuine toss-up — Plessis at 54% vs Adesanya at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Plessis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Adesanya has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Plessis
Adesanya
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+80"
32+
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Switch
Plessis
Adesanya
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.5
63.4
65.6
Performance Avg
61.2
49
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
100
Plessis
Adesanya
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
16
2
Body
8
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance23
2Clinch0
0Ground1
Plessis
Adesanya
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Plessis
Adesanya
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
18
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/26 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Plessis
Adesanya
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Plessis
Adesanya
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
39%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Plessis
Adesanya
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
PlessisAdesanya
Strike Zones
Plessis
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedAdesanya
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Plessis targets the head (88% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Adesanya targets the head (67% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Plessis
RND
Adesanya
0/0R00/0
Plessis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Adesanya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Plessis · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R4
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.8Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
Adesanya · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

