The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2016
Lightweight
VS
83%
Silva
17%
Holbrook
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
Silva is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holbrook has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Holbrook
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+70"
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Holbrook
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.9
9.5
46.0
Performance Avg
31.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
67
Momentum Score
25
Silva
Holbrook
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch1
5Ground0
Silva
Holbrook
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Holbrook
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Silva
Holbrook
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
25
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Holbrook
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Holbrook
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.2
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
SilvaHolbrook
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHolbrook
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Holbrook absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Holbrook targets the head (50% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Holbrook
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Holbrook · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · KO · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · KO · R2
Jesse RonsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
Holbrook · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Thibault GoutiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
Joaquim SilvaRating 2.1KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Cláudia Finale · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Ramsey NijemRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07