METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Manchester, United Kingdom
14 Nov 2009
Lightweight
VS
43%
Siver
57%
Kelly
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:53
★ Official Result
Dennis SiverwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:53
def. Paul Kelly · UFC 105: Couture vs Vera
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kelly
→
Actual result
Siver wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Siver at 43% vs Kelly at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Siver throws more volume but Kelly connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Siver's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kelly has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SiverKelly
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Siver
Kelly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Siver
Kelly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
19.1
46.1
Performance Avg
43.8
37
Quality of Victory
36
43
Momentum Score
99
Siver
Kelly
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.4
34%
Strike Accuracy
41%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
4
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance4
3Clinch0
2Ground0
Siver
Kelly
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Siver
Kelly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
9/19 fights
Siver
Kelly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
99
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Siver
Kelly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Siver
Kelly
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
SiverKelly
Strike Zones
Siver
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedKelly
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Siver targets the head (82% of attacks) — Kelly absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Kelly targets the head (100% of attacks) — Siver absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Siver
RND
Kelly
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Siver · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Kelly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Siver · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Tatsuya KawajiriRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
Upcoming
Manvel GamburyanUFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
Kelly · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8Submission
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · KO · R2
TJ O'BrienRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Jacob VolkmannRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Matt VeachRating 5.2Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · KO · R2
Dennis SiverRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11