UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Stockholm, Sweden
4 Oct 2014
Middleweight
VS
43%
Troeng
57%
Jotko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TT
Tor Troeng
"The Hammer"
16 – 7
6'2"Orthodox43 yrs3-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
KJ
Krzysztof Jotko
24 – 6
Well-Rounded36 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jotko

This is a genuine toss-up — Troeng at 43% vs Jotko at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Troeng has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.

Striking split: Jotko throws more volume but Troeng connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Jotko has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Troeng
Jotko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
Reach
77"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Troeng
Jotko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
22.7
42.4
Performance Avg
42.8
54
Quality of Victory
28
29
Momentum Score
60
Troeng
Jotko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
5
2
Body
7
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
0Distance3
4Clinch15
0Ground0
Troeng
Jotko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Troeng
Jotko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
28
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/23 fights
Chin rating based on
17/30 fights
Troeng
Jotko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
29
60
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Troeng
Jotko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
9%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Troeng
Jotko
Striking0.5 / 2.2Volume0.5 / 8.6Grappling8.0 / 2.2Wrestling5.6 / 1.5Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Troeng
Strike Zones
Jotko
Troeng
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD7BODY6LEGS18 absorbed
Jotko
Attacking
5HEAD7BODY6LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Troeng targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Jotko targets the body (39% of attacks) — Troeng absorbs 39% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Troeng
RND
Jotko
0/0R00/0

Troeng · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2013-042013-092014-072014-10
WinLossTrend

Jotko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.0L4.5W4.5W5.3W6.6L4.5W5.6W2.8L2013-122016-062019-042022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Troeng · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Rafael NatalRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
W · Sub · R1
Adam CellaRating 5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Latifi · 2013-04

Jotko · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Misha CirkunovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

News & Media

Tor Troeng · Krzysztof Jotko
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