METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Lightweight
VS
86%
White
14%
Moret
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AW
Alex White
"The Spartan"
136
6'0"71" reachSouthpaw37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
DM
Dan Moret
"The Hitman"
136
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'0"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Alex WhitewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Moret · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
White
Actual result
White wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

White is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

White has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.

White has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

White's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WhiteMoret
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
White
Moret
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
71"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
White
Moret
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
2.1
40.8
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
15
Momentum Score
0
White
Moret
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
0.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
7
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance4
12Clinch6
0Ground0
White
Moret
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
White
Moret
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
White
Moret
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
White
Moret
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

White
Moret
Striking5.8 / 0.0Volume4.8 / 0.0Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
White
Strike Zones
Moret
White
Attacking
14HEAD7BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Moret
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD7BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯White targets the head (67% of attacks) — Moret absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Moret targets the head (70% of attacks) — White absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

White
RND
Moret
0/0R00/0

White · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W4.0L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L1.9L4.5W6.5L2014-042016-022018-012019-10
WinLossTrend

Moret · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0103.0L5.5L5.9L2018-042019-032019-06
WinLossTrend

White · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Dan MoretRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · KO · R2
Mitch ClarkeRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09

Moret · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Gilbert BurnsRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

News & Media

Alex White · Dan Moret
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