UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Lightweight
VS
86%
White
14%
Moret
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: White
White is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
White has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
White has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
White's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
White
Moret
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
71"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
White
Moret
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
2.1
40.8
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
15
Momentum Score
0
White
Moret
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
37%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
7
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance4
12Clinch6
0Ground0
White
Moret
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
White
Moret
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
White
Moret
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
White
Moret
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
White
Moret
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
WhiteMoret
Strike Zones
White
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedMoret
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯White targets the head (67% of attacks) — Moret absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Moret targets the head (70% of attacks) — White absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
White
RND
Moret
0/0R00/0
White · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Moret · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
White · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rafael FizievRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Dan MoretRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
James KrauseRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · KO · R2
Mitch ClarkeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
Moret · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alex WhiteRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Gilbert BurnsRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04