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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Lightweight
VS
86%
White
14%
Moret
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AW
Alex White
"The Spartan"
136
6'0"71" reachSouthpaw37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 13
DM
Dan Moret
"The Hitman"
136
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw73" reach6'0"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Alex WhitewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Dan Moret · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
White
Actual result
White wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

White is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

White has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.

Risk flags

White's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WhiteMoret
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
White
Moret
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
71"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
White
Moret
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
2.1
40.8
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
15
Momentum Score
0
White
Moret
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
0.0
4.8
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
7
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance4
12Clinch6
0Ground0
White
Moret
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
White
Moret
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
10/19 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
White
Moret
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
White
Moret
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

White
Moret
Striking5.8 / 0.0Volume4.8 / 0.0Grappling1.2 / 0.0Wrestling0.8 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
White
Strike Zones
Moret
White
Attacking
14HEAD7BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Moret
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD7BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯White targets the head (67% of attacks) — Moret absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Moret targets the head (70% of attacks) — White absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

White
RND
Moret
0/0R00/0

White · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafael Fiziev
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Dan Moret
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Jim Miller
Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
James Krause
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
W · KO · R2
Mitch Clarke
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09

Moret · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Jared Gordon
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alex White
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · KO · R2
Gilbert Burns
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

News & Media

Alex White · Dan Moret
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