METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jan 2026
Bantamweight
VS
51%
Nurmagomedov
49%
Figueiredo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Umar NurmagomedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Deiveson Figueiredo · UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nurmagomedov
→
Actual result
Nurmagomedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nurmagomedov at 51% vs Figueiredo at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Figueiredo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Figueiredo has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NurmagomedovFigueiredo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nurmagomedov
Figueiredo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
69"+
Reach
68"
30+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nurmagomedov
Figueiredo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.7
54.3
53.6
Performance Avg
56.0
36
Quality of Victory
49
75
Momentum Score
55
Nurmagomedov
Figueiredo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
6.0
6.6
Style: Volume
4.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance0
0Clinch0
3Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Figueiredo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Figueiredo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/21 fights
Chin rating based on
23/31 fights
Nurmagomedov
Figueiredo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
55
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Nurmagomedov
Figueiredo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
57%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nurmagomedov
Figueiredo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
NurmagomedovFigueiredo
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedFigueiredo
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (67% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nurmagomedov
RND
Figueiredo
0/0R00/0
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Song YadongKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
Figueiredo · Last 5
Upcoming
Payton TalbottUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
L · Sub · R2
Song YadongSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05