UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
3 Jun 2017
Welterweight
VS
42%
Silva
58%
Medeiros
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:01
ES
Erick Silva
19 – 9
6'0"74" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 18
YM
Yancy Medeiros
15 – 8
Well-Rounded4-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'10"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Medeiros

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 42% vs Medeiros at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Medeiros throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Medeiros has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Silva
Medeiros
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"
Reach
+75"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Medeiros
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
24.4
51.3
Performance Avg
45.4
54
Quality of Victory
47
46
Momentum Score
39
Silva
Medeiros
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.0
57%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
5
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
14Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Silva
Medeiros
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.4
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Medeiros
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/28 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Silva
Medeiros
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Silva
Medeiros
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
83%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Medeiros
Striking3.8 / 4.2Volume0.9 / 2.2Grappling5.7 / 4.4Wrestling4.0 / 3.1Submission7.1 / 5.0Pressure8.4 / 7.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
5.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.1
7.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.2
Silva
Strike Zones
Medeiros
Silva
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Medeiros
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (43% of attacks) — Medeiros absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Medeiros targets the head (93% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Medeiros
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L5.0W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.0W3.1L5.0W5.0W6.1L2.8L5.5W2.8L5.5L2011-082013-062014-122016-092017-12
WinLossTrend

Medeiros · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.0L1.9L5.5W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.2W5.2W5.5W1.5L2.8L6.0L5.5L2013-042015-062017-062020-022021-06
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jordan MeinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R3
Luan ChagasRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R2
Nordine TalebRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08

Medeiros · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Lando VannataRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Gregor GillespieRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R3
Alex OliveiraRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12

News & Media

Erick Silva · Yancy Medeiros
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