UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Broomfield, USA
2 Apr 2008
Lightweight
VS
88%
Aurelio
12%
Roberts
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:16
MA
Marcus Aurelio
"Maximus"
22 – 10
5'10"74" reachOrthodox52 yrs3-fight slidePressure Fighter
CFR 18
RR
Ryan Roberts
21 – 12
Well-Rounded47 yrsOrthodox5'6"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Aurelio

Aurelio is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Aurelio has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 57 points.

Aurelio
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
74"
Reach
52
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Aurelio
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
2.5
47.5
Performance Avg
0.0
57
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Aurelio
Roberts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
—
34%
Strike Accuracy
0%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Aurelio
Roberts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aurelio
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/32 fights
Chin rating based on
1/33 fights
Aurelio
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Aurelio
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Aurelio
Roberts
Striking5.7 / 0.0Volume0.7 / 0.0Grappling4.0 / 0.0Wrestling2.8 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Aurelio
Strike Zones
Roberts
Aurelio
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Roberts
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Aurelio targets the head (100% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Aurelio
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Aurelio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.0L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2007-082007-112008-042008-072008-102009-08
WinLossTrend

Aurelio · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Dec · R3
Hermes FrancaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 90: Silva vs Cote · 2008-10
L · Dec · R3
Tyson GriffinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 86: Jackson vs Griffin · 2008-07
W · Sub · R1
Ryan RobertsRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
W · KO · R1
Luke CaudilloRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11

Roberts · Last 1

L · Sub · R1
Marcus AurelioRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04

News & Media

Marcus Aurelio · Ryan Roberts
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