UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold
Perth, Australia
10 Feb 2018
Lightweight
VS
46%
Brown
54%
Ma
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ma
This is a genuine toss-up — Brown at 46% vs Ma at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ma has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Brown
Ma
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+70"
41
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Ma
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
15.5
38.8
Performance Avg
37.0
43
Quality of Victory
37
15
Momentum Score
78
Brown
Ma
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.8
38%
Strike Accuracy
35%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
16
7
Body
1
5
Leg
5
RangeRange
20Distance22
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Brown
Ma
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Ma
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
30
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/29 fights
Chin rating based on
8/27 fights
Brown
Ma
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
78
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Brown
Ma
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brown
Ma
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
BrownMa
Strike Zones
Brown
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedMa
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (40% of attacks) — Ma absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Ma targets the head (73% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brown
RND
Ma
0/0R00/0
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ma · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Brown · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun MaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Frank CamachoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Vinc PichelRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Jon TuckRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Brunson · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Cesar ArzamendiaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
Ma · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
L · R2
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.8UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler · 2019-08
L · KO · R1
Devonte SmithRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Damien BrownRating 4.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09