METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Feb 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
71%
Jacoby
29%
Walker
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:42
★ Official Result
Dustin JacobywinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:42
def. Julius Walker · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jacoby
→
Actual result
Jacoby wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Jacoby is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jacoby has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Jacoby's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Walker has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JacobyWalker
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jacoby
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+78"
38
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jacoby
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.6
23.9
52.3
Performance Avg
25.0
48
Quality of Victory
25
91
Momentum Score
17
Jacoby
Walker
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
0.8
3.6
Style: Volume
8.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance2
9Clinch0
11Ground0
Jacoby
Walker
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jacoby
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Jacoby
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
17
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jacoby
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jacoby
Walker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
JacobyWalker
Strike Zones
Jacoby
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWalker
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jacoby targets the head (97% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Jacoby absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jacoby
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jacoby · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Muhammad SaidovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Julius WalkerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
Walker · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R2
Dustin JacobyKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Rafael CerqueiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02