UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Des Moines, USA
3 May 2025
Bantamweight
VS
41%
Smotherman
59%
Sidey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Cameron
Cameron Smotherman
"The Baby-Faced Killa"
12 – 6
5'9"69" reachOrthodox28 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 34
Serhiy
Serhiy Sidey
12 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak29 yrsSwitch72" reach5'11"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sidey

This is a genuine toss-up — Smotherman at 41% vs Sidey at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Smotherman throws more volume but Sidey connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Smotherman
Sidey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+72"
28+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Smotherman
Sidey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.8
47.9
28.3
Performance Avg
41.7
25
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
73
Smotherman
Sidey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
34%
Strike Accuracy
39%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
12
3
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
21Distance17
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Smotherman
Sidey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smotherman
Sidey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Smotherman
Sidey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
73
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Smotherman
Sidey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smotherman
Sidey
Striking0.7 / 1.3Volume8.7 / 9.3Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 2.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Smotherman
Strike Zones
Sidey
Smotherman
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD4BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Sidey
Attacking
12HEAD4BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Smotherman targets the head (88% of attacks) — Sidey absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Sidey targets the head (71% of attacks) — Smotherman absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Smotherman
RND
Sidey
0/0R00/0

Smotherman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.2W6.1L6.2L2024-102025-052025-06
WinLossTrend

Sidey · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.6W4.5W2024-012024-112025-05
WinLossTrend

Smotherman · Last 4

Upcoming
Kai Asakura
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Serhiy SideyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Jake HadleyRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10

Sidey · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Garrett ArmfieldRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

News & Media

Cameron Smotherman · Serhiy Sidey
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