UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Flyweight
VS
31%
Sandoval
69%
Schnell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:24
HS
Hector Sandoval
"Kid Alex"
14 – 4
5'2"64" reachOrthodox39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
Matt
Matt Schnell
"Danger"
17 – 10
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 38

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Schnell

Schnell holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Sandoval has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sandoval has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sandoval's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Schnell has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Sandoval
Schnell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'8"
64"
Reach
+70"
39
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sandoval
Schnell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
38.1
45.5
Performance Avg
40.7
43
Quality of Victory
37
57
Momentum Score
45
Sandoval
Schnell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
8
6
Body
4
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance6
17Clinch10
10Ground0
Sandoval
Schnell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sandoval
Schnell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Sandoval
Schnell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
57
45
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Sandoval
Schnell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sandoval
Schnell
Striking6.0 / 0.9Volume5.0 / 5.5Grappling1.2 / 4.8Wrestling0.8 / 3.4Submission0.0 / 4.3Pressure5.0 / 4.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Sandoval
Strike Zones
Schnell
Sandoval
Attacking
22HEAD6BODY4LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY4LEGS16 absorbed
Schnell
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY4LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD6BODY4LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Sandoval targets the head (69% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Schnell targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sandoval absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sandoval
RND
Schnell
0/0R00/0

Sandoval · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0101.5L4.5W5.2W1.5L2016-072016-122017-042017-08
WinLossTrend

Schnell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0102.7L1.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L4.7W2.3L5.9W2.9L3.3L2.9L5.0W3.5L2016-122019-032022-052024-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Sandoval · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Dustin OrtizRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · KO · R1
Matt SchnellRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Fredy SerranoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

Schnell · Last 5

Upcoming
Imanol Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Steve ErcegRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Hector Sandoval · Matt Schnell
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