METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Flyweight
VS
32%
Sandoval
68%
Schnell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:24
★ Official Result
Hector SandovalwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:24
def. Matt Schnell · UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Schnell
→
Actual result
Sandoval wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Schnell holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Sandoval has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Sandoval's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Schnell has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SandovalSchnell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sandoval
Schnell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'8"
64"
Reach
+70"
40
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sandoval
Schnell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
37.5
45.5
Performance Avg
39.6
43
Quality of Victory
37
57
Momentum Score
45
Sandoval
Schnell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
4.3
5.0
Style: Volume
5.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
8
6
Body
4
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance6
17Clinch10
10Ground0
Sandoval
Schnell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sandoval
Schnell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Sandoval
Schnell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
57
45
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Sandoval
Schnell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
43%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sandoval
Schnell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
SandovalSchnell
Strike Zones
Sandoval
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedSchnell
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sandoval targets the head (69% of attacks) — Schnell absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Schnell targets the head (50% of attacks) — Sandoval absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sandoval
RND
Schnell
0/0R00/0
Sandoval · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Dustin OrtizKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · KO · R1
Matt SchnellKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Fredy SerranoDecision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisSubmission
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07
Schnell · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alessandro CostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
L · Sub · R1
Joseph MoralesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jimmy FlickDecision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
Steve ErcegKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03