★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 44: Undisputed
Las Vegas, USA
26 Sept 2003
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Couture
50%
Ortiz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Couture
This is a genuine toss-up — Couture at 50% vs Ortiz at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Ortiz throws more volume but Couture connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Couture's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ortiz has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Couture
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
74"
62
Age
+51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Couture
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
20.4
62.4
Performance Avg
57.3
60
Quality of Victory
57
72
Momentum Score
85
Couture
Ortiz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.0
61%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
0
3
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
5Clinch2
9Ground0
Couture
Ortiz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Couture
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
6
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.4 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/30 fights
Chin rating based on
27/31 fights
Couture
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
85
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Couture
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
4
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Couture
Ortiz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
CoutureOrtiz
Strike Zones
Couture
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedOrtiz
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Couture targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the body (100% of attacks) — Couture absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Couture
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0
Couture · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Couture · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Sub · R1
James ToneyRating 5Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R2
Mark ColemanRating 5.2Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Antonio Rodrigo NogueiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10