★ Championship Bout · Middleweight
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
Glendale, USA
12 Jun 2021
Middleweight
VS
56%
Adesanya
44%
Vettori
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Adesanya
This is a genuine toss-up — Adesanya at 56% vs Vettori at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Adesanya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Vettori throws more volume but Adesanya connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Adesanya's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Adesanya
Vettori
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
74"
36
Age
+32
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Adesanya
Vettori
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.4
50.2
61.2
Performance Avg
40.0
56
Quality of Victory
31
100
Momentum Score
84
Adesanya
Vettori
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
8
1
Body
0
6
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Adesanya
Vettori
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.2
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Adesanya
Vettori
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
84
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
19/29 fights
Adesanya
Vettori
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
84
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Adesanya
Vettori
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
22%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Adesanya
Vettori
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
AdesanyaVettori
Strike Zones
Adesanya
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedVettori
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Adesanya targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Vettori targets the head (89% of attacks) — Adesanya absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Adesanya
RND
Vettori
0/0R00/0
Adesanya · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Vettori · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Adesanya · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Joe PyferRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R2
Nassourdine ImavovRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R4
Dricus Du PlessisRating 5.3Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · KO · R2
Alex PereiraRating 7.2KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Vettori · Last 5
Upcoming
Ismail NaurdievUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 6.8Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06