Daniel Marcos vs Aoriqileng — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer

Las Vegas, USA

10 Feb 2024

Bantamweight

58%

Marcos

42%

Win Probability

Daniel Marcos

"Soncora"

18 – 1

5'7"69" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 61

Aoriqileng

"The Mongolian Murderer"

26 – 12

Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"

CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

AI-powered journalistic analysis · live news & data

Edge: Marcos

An unbeaten Peruvian prospect faces the Mongolian Murderer in a UFC Vegas bantamweight fight where someone's perfect record is going away.

Daniel Marcos enters UFC Vegas 86 with an unblemished record and the kind of prospect hype that the UFC's bantamweight division regularly generates — a technically gifted Peruvian fighter whose combination of wrestling and clean striking has produced dominant performances at every level. Opposite him stands Aoriqileng — 'The Mongolian Murderer' — a veteran bantamweight who has seen every style th…

Marcos intel

Marcos enters unbeaten with the kind of technical profile that has drawn comparisons to early-career contenders. His wrestling gives him a reliable second gear if striking exchanges go against him, and his composure in early UFC fights has been notably good for someone with limited Octagon experience.

intel

Aoriqileng has been a reliable source of exciting fights throughout his career, and his willingness to engage makes him a crowd favourite regardless of result. He has been finished cleanly before but it is never easy — his chin and determination are genuine attributes at this level.

Key angles

Marcos establishing wrestling control to prevent Aoriqileng from creating the chaos he thrives in

Aoriqileng using cage pressure to deny Marcos the space for his combination work

How Marcos responds if Aoriqileng lands clean early — composure under fire is the big unknown

Whether Aoriqileng's veteran tricks can disrupt the tactical game plan of a technically superior prospect

Risk flags

Aoriqileng's veteran chaos-creating tendencies can make prospects look ordinary even when they are winning

Marcos's chin is completely untested against the kind of punching power Aoriqileng has accumulated over 38 fights

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Marcos

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"

Height

5'7"

69"

Reach

69"

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Marcos

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

61.0

44.4

54.9

Performance Avg

41.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Marcos

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

3.7

/ 10

5.8

/ 10

5.3

Style: Pressure

4.7

6.5

Style: Volume

4.8

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

36Distance21

2Clinch2

7Ground0

Marcos

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

3.0

/ 10

1.2

/ 10

2.1

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.8

2.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Marcos

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.7 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/19 fights

Chin rating based on

11/38 fights

Marcos

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Upcoming

Last 5

L · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Upcoming

Marcos

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

40%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marcos

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.8

3.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.2

2.1

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.8

2.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.7

6.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.8

Marcos

Strike Zones

Marcos

Attacking

45 landed

Absorbing

23 absorbed

Attacking

23 landed

Absorbing

45 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Marcos targets the head (67% of attacks) — absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯 targets the head (57% of attacks) — Marcos absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marcos

RND

0/0R00/0

Marcos · Last 5

W · Sub · R2

Miles Johns

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

L · Dec · R3

Montel Jackson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

W · Dec · R3

Adrian Yanez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

W · Dec · R3

John Castaneda

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

Upcoming

Aoriqileng

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

· Last 5

L · KO · R2

Kai Asakura

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08

L · KO · R2

Cody Haddon

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

W · KO · R1

Cody Gibson

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10

L · Dec · R3

Raul Rosas Jr.

Decision

UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

Upcoming

Daniel Marcos

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02

News & Media

Daniel Marcos · Aoriqileng

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