UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira
Portland, USA
29 Aug 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Vera
49%
Soszynski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vera
This is a genuine toss-up — Vera at 51% vs Soszynski at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Soszynski throws more volume but Vera connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Vera's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Soszynski has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vera
Soszynski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
77"
48
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Open Stance
Vera
Soszynski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.6
19.1
48.3
Performance Avg
50.5
45
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
75
Vera
Soszynski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
44%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
7
2
Body
1
13
Leg
5
RangeRange
12Distance9
11Clinch4
1Ground0
Vera
Soszynski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vera
Soszynski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/22 fights
Chin rating based on
9/38 fights
Vera
Soszynski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · R3
Vera
Soszynski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vera
Soszynski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
VeraSoszynski
Strike Zones
Vera
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedSoszynski
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vera targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Soszynski absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Soszynski targets the head (54% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vera
RND
Soszynski
0/0R00/0
Vera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Soszynski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Vera · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Ben RothwellRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R4
Mauricio RuaRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
Upcoming
Thiago SilvaUFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
Soszynski · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Igor PokrajacRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike MassenzioRating 4.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R2
Stephan BonnarRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 4.5UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02