UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Toronto, Canada
30 Apr 2011
Lightweight
VS
69%
Makdessi
31%
Watson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:27
JM
John Makdessi
"The Bull"
18 – 9
5'8"68" reachOrthodox41 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 31
KW
Kyle Watson
13 – 8
Well-Rounded46 yrsSouthpaw6'0"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Makdessi

Makdessi holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Watson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Makdessi
Watson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
68"
Reach
41+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Makdessi
Watson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
13.6
42.2
Performance Avg
35.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
51
Momentum Score
55
Makdessi
Watson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.8
51%
Strike Accuracy
35%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
3
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance1
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Makdessi
Watson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Watson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Makdessi
Watson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Makdessi
Watson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Makdessi
Watson
Striking3.8 / 1.0Volume6.9 / 9.0Grappling1.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Makdessi
Strike Zones
Watson
Makdessi
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Watson
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (56% of attacks) — Watson absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Watson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Makdessi
RND
Watson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Makdessi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.8W6.2L5.7L2010-122013-032015-122019-032023-09
WinLossTrend

Watson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W4.0L2010-122011-04
WinLossTrend

Makdessi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

Watson · Last 2

L · KO · R3
John MakdessiRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Dec · R3
Sako ChivitchianRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12

News & Media

John Makdessi · Kyle Watson
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