METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Toronto, Canada
30 Apr 2011
Lightweight
VS
69%
Makdessi
31%
Watson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:27
★ Official Result
John MakdessiwinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:27
def. Kyle Watson · UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Makdessi
→
Actual result
Makdessi wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Makdessi holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Watson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Makdessi's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MakdessiWatson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Makdessi
Watson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
68"
Reach
41+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Makdessi
Watson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.9
13.6
42.2
Performance Avg
35.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
51
Momentum Score
55
Makdessi
Watson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
1.5
6.9
Style: Volume
9.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
3
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance1
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Makdessi
Watson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Makdessi
Watson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Makdessi
Watson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Makdessi
Watson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Makdessi
Watson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
MakdessiWatson
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedWatson
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Makdessi targets the head (56% of attacks) — Watson absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Watson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Makdessi
RND
Watson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Watson · Last 2
L · KO · R3
John MakdessiKO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Dec · R3
Sako ChivitchianDecision
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