UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2007
Welterweight
VS
48%
Hironaka
52%
Petz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KH
Kuniyoshi Hironaka
23 – 9
5'10"70" reachOrthodox49 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
FP
Forrest Petz
"The Meat Cleaver"
26 – 10
Well-Rounded3-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 10

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Petz

This is a genuine toss-up — Hironaka at 48% vs Petz at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Petz throws more volume but Hironaka connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hironaka's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Petz has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hironaka
Petz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
+71"
49+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hironaka
Petz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.8
9.7
25.0
Performance Avg
26.4
25
Quality of Victory
25
22
Momentum Score
30
Hironaka
Petz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.8
43%
Strike Accuracy
26%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
3Clinch1
8Ground0
Hironaka
Petz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hironaka
Petz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/36 fights
Hironaka
Petz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hironaka
Petz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hironaka
Petz
Striking0.5 / 0.6Volume8.5 / 8.6Grappling2.4 / 2.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 0.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Hironaka
Strike Zones
Petz
Hironaka
Attacking
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Petz
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD2BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hironaka targets the head (82% of attacks) — Petz absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Petz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hironaka absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hironaka
RND
Petz
0/0R00/0

Hironaka · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.5L4.5W2.8L2.8L2006-102007-042007-092008-04
WinLossTrend

Petz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L2006-082007-042007-102010-09
WinLossTrend

Hironaka · Last 4

L · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Dec · R3
Forrest PetzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Jon FitchRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 64: Unstoppable · 2006-10

Petz · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Brian FosterRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RobertsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 77: Hostile Territory · 2007-10
W · Dec · R3
Luigi FioravantiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06
L · Dec · R3
Kuniyoshi HironakaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04

News & Media

Kuniyoshi Hironaka · Forrest Petz
← Back to fights