METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Rotterdam, Netherlands
8 May 2016
Middleweight
VS
58%
Cedenblad
42%
McLellan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:47
★ Official Result
Magnus CedenbladwinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:47
def. Garreth McLellan · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cedenblad
→
Actual result
Cedenblad wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cedenblad at 58% vs McLellan at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Cedenblad's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McLellan has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CedenbladMcLellan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cedenblad
McLellan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
72"
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cedenblad
McLellan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.8
14.3
54.2
Performance Avg
38.0
46
Quality of Victory
50
59
Momentum Score
20
Cedenblad
McLellan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
7.6
3.3
Style: Volume
0.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance1
5Clinch0
0Ground0
Cedenblad
McLellan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cedenblad
McLellan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Cedenblad
McLellan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
20
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cedenblad
McLellan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cedenblad
McLellan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
CedenbladMcLellan
Strike Zones
Cedenblad
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMcLellan
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cedenblad targets the head (90% of attacks) — McLellan absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯McLellan targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Cedenblad absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cedenblad
RND
McLellan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cedenblad · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jack MarshmanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Garreth McLellanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott AskhamDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Krzysztof JotkoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Sub · R1
Jared HammanSubmission
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
McLellan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Paulo CostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Alessio Di ChiricoDecision
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
L · KO · R2
Magnus CedenbladKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · KO · R3
Bubba BushKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Bartosz FabinskiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04