METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Rotterdam, Netherlands
8 May 2016
Middleweight
VS
58%
Cedenblad
42%
McLellan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:47
MC
Magnus Cedenblad
"Jycken"
145
6'5"79" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
GM
Garreth McLellan
"Soldier Boy"
136
Knockout Artist3-fight slide44 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'1"
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Magnus CedenbladwinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:47
def. Garreth McLellan · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cedenblad
Actual result
Cedenblad wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Cedenblad at 58% vs McLellan at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Cedenblad's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

McLellan has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
CedenbladMcLellan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Cedenblad
McLellan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'1"
79"+
Reach
72"
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cedenblad
McLellan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.8
14.3
54.2
Performance Avg
38.0
46
Quality of Victory
50
59
Momentum Score
20
Cedenblad
McLellan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
7.6
3.3
Style: Volume
0.4
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance1
5Clinch0
0Ground0
Cedenblad
McLellan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cedenblad
McLellan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
52
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
6/19 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Cedenblad
McLellan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
20
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cedenblad
McLellan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cedenblad
McLellan
Striking3.8 / 10.0Volume3.3 / 0.4Grappling4.6 / 0.0Wrestling3.2 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure7.3 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
Cedenblad
Strike Zones
McLellan
Cedenblad
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
McLellan
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cedenblad targets the head (90% of attacks) — McLellan absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯McLellan targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Cedenblad absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cedenblad
RND
McLellan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cedenblad · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jack Marshman
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Garreth McLellan
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott Askham
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Krzysztof Jotko
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Sub · R1
Jared Hamman
Submission
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08

McLellan · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Paulo Costa
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Alessio Di Chirico
Decision
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
L · KO · R2
Magnus Cedenblad
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · KO · R3
Bubba Bush
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holohan vs Smolka · 2015-10
L · Dec · R3
Bartosz Fabinski
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04

News & Media

Magnus Cedenblad · Garreth McLellan
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