METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Auckland, New Zealand
22 Feb 2020
Lightweight
VS
50%
Riddell
50%
Mustafaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brad RiddellwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Magomed Mustafaev · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Riddell
→
Actual result
Riddell wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Riddell at 50% vs Mustafaev at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mustafaev has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Risk flags
Riddell's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RiddellMustafaev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Riddell
Mustafaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
34+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Riddell
Mustafaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
20.6
37.9
Performance Avg
53.5
25
Quality of Victory
49
50
Momentum Score
65
Riddell
Mustafaev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
7.9
/ 10
1.7
Style: Pressure
6.5
9.1
Style: Volume
1.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
2
7
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance4
1Clinch0
14Ground0
Riddell
Mustafaev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Riddell
Mustafaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
5/18 fights
Riddell
Mustafaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · R2
Riddell
Mustafaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Riddell
Mustafaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
RiddellMustafaev
Strike Zones
Riddell
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMustafaev
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Riddell targets the head (56% of attacks) — Mustafaev absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Mustafaev targets the head (50% of attacks) — Riddell absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Riddell
RND
Mustafaev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Riddell · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · Sub · R1
Jalin TurnerSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R3
Rafael FizievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Drew DoberDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaDecision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
Mustafaev · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad RiddellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · 2020-02
W · KO · R1
Rafael FizievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
L · Sub · R2
Kevin LeeSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · KO · R1
Joe ProctorKO/TKO
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor · 2015-12
W · R2
Piotr HallmannUFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06