UFC 79: Nemesis
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2007
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Sanchez
49%
Palelei
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:24
ES
CFR 21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sanchez
This is a genuine toss-up — Sanchez at 51% vs Palelei at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Sanchez throws more volume but Palelei connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sanchez's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Palelei has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sanchez
Palelei
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
74"
Reach
+81"
43+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sanchez
Palelei
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.3
20.5
52.0
Performance Avg
56.6
53
Quality of Victory
56
78
Momentum Score
52
Sanchez
Palelei
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
58%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
0
2
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance0
11Clinch1
0Ground0
Sanchez
Palelei
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Sanchez
Palelei
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/27 fights
Sanchez
Palelei
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Sanchez
Palelei
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sanchez
Palelei
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.7
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.1
SanchezPalelei
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedPalelei
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sanchez targets the head (85% of attacks) — Palelei absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Palelei targets the body (100% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sanchez
RND
Palelei
0/0R00/0
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Palelei · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Justin McCullyRating 5.5Decision
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L · KO · R2
Antoni HardonkRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · KO · R3
Soa PaleleiRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
W · KO · R2
Colin RobinsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
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UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
Palelei · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Antonio SilvaRating 2.8KO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
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