UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
Newark, USA
27 Apr 2013
Featherweight
VS
33%
Siler
67%
Holobaugh
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SS
Steven Siler
"Super"
29 – 16
5'11"70" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
Kurt
Kurt Holobaugh
"The Hurt"
22 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holobaugh

Holobaugh holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Siler has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Siler throws more volume but Holobaugh connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Holobaugh has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Siler
Holobaugh
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Siler
Holobaugh
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
32.1
44.9
Performance Avg
31.2
38
Quality of Victory
37
36
Momentum Score
20
Siler
Holobaugh
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
3
6
Body
11
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
11Distance8
5Clinch11
9Ground0
Siler
Holobaugh
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Siler
Holobaugh
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/45 fights
Chin rating based on
9/32 fights
Siler
Holobaugh
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Siler
Holobaugh
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Siler
Holobaugh
Striking3.1 / 0.4Volume5.9 / 4.4Grappling3.0 / 5.2Wrestling2.1 / 3.6Submission2.0 / 5.0Pressure4.5 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Siler
Strike Zones
Holobaugh
Siler
Attacking
19HEAD6BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD11BODY5LEGS19 absorbed
Holobaugh
Attacking
3HEAD11BODY5LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD6BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Siler targets the head (76% of attacks) — Holobaugh absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Holobaugh targets the body (58% of attacks) — Siler absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Siler
RND
Holobaugh
0/0R00/0

Siler · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.0W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.5L1.5L5.5L2011-122012-112013-112014-07
WinLossTrend

Holobaugh · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.8L1.5L5.7L5.2W5.6L4.5W6.4L3.0L2013-042019-052024-072025-05
WinLossTrend

Siler · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Noad LahatRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · KO · R1
Rony JasonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11
W · KO · R1
Mike BrownRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
W · Dec · R3
Kurt HolobaughRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04

Holobaugh · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Kaynan KruschewskyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Sub · R2
Austin HubbardRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Steven Siler · Kurt Holobaugh
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