UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
Toronto, Canada
30 Apr 2011
Bantamweight
VS
90%
Menjivar
10%
Valencia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:30
IM
Ivan Menjivar
"The Pride of El Salvador"
25 – 12
5'6"64" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
CV
Charlie Valencia
12 – 7
Well-Rounded51 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'3"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Menjivar

Menjivar is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Menjivar has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Valencia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Menjivar
Valencia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'3"
64"
Reach
64"
43+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Menjivar
Valencia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
2.2
46.7
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
64
Momentum Score
0
Menjivar
Valencia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.0
38%
Strike Accuracy
50%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
2
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
4Clinch3
4Ground0
Menjivar
Valencia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Menjivar
Valencia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/37 fights
Chin rating based on
1/19 fights
Menjivar
Valencia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Menjivar
Valencia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Menjivar
Valencia
Striking3.4 / 0.0Volume2.9 / 0.0Grappling4.6 / 0.0Wrestling3.2 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Menjivar
Strike Zones
Valencia
Menjivar
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Valencia
Attacking
1HEAD3BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Menjivar targets the head (63% of attacks) — Valencia absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Valencia targets the body (60% of attacks) — Menjivar absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Menjivar
RND
Valencia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Menjivar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W1.5L5.5L5.5L2004-062012-022013-022014-03
WinLossTrend

Menjivar · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Hatsu HiokiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
L · Sub · R1
Urijah FaberRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Sub · R1
Azamat GashimovRating 5
Submission
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Mike EastonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07

Valencia · Last 1

L · KO · R1
Ivan MenjivarRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04

News & Media

Ivan Menjivar · Charlie Valencia
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