UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee
Atlantic City, USA
21 Apr 2018
Featherweight
VS
36%
Edgar
64%
Swanson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Swanson
Swanson holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Edgar has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Edgar's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Swanson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Edgar
Swanson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
44
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Edgar
Swanson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
45.5
48.0
Performance Avg
48.8
39
Quality of Victory
40
68
Momentum Score
56
Edgar
Swanson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
56%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
10
2
Body
5
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
19Distance13
2Clinch4
0Ground0
Edgar
Swanson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edgar
Swanson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
26/45 fights
Edgar
Swanson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
56
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Edgar
Swanson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edgar
Swanson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
EdgarSwanson
Strike Zones
Edgar
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedSwanson
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edgar targets the head (62% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Swanson targets the head (59% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edgar
RND
Swanson
0/0R00/0
Edgar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Swanson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
