METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
39%
Blachowicz
61%
Ulberg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jan
Jan Blachowicz
29 – 11
6'2"78" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Carlos
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
15 – 1
Knockout Artist10-fight win streak35 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'4"
CFR 74
★ Official Result
Carlos UlbergwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jan Blachowicz · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ulberg
→
Actual result
Ulberg wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Ulberg holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Blachowicz has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ulberg has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Blachowicz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BlachowiczUlberg
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
78"+
Reach
77"
43
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
73.9
53.0
Performance Avg
68.2
48
Quality of Victory
53
20
Momentum Score
100
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
3.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
58%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
11
7
Body
2
10
Leg
18
RangeRange
25Distance31
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/40 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Blachowicz
Ulberg
Striking5.4 / 7.8Volume4.5 / 4.2Grappling2.3 / 1.5Wrestling1.6 / 1.1Submission1.7 / 1.0Pressure5.9 / 7.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Blachowicz
Strike Zones
Ulberg
Blachowicz
Attacking
8HEAD7BODY10LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY18LEGS31 absorbed
Ulberg
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY18LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD7BODY10LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Blachowicz targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Ulberg targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Blachowicz
RND
Ulberg
0/0R00/0

Blachowicz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.2W5.5W4.5W6.5W2.8L5.3W4.5W5.0W6.2W5.9W2.5L5.4W7.6L7.4L2014-102017-042019-022021-032025-03
WinLossTrend

Ulberg · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.0L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W6.1W5.9W5.3W5.1W6.0W6.7W2021-032022-112024-052025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Blachowicz · Last 5

Upcoming
Bogdan Guskov
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6
Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed Ankalaev
Decision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
W · KO · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05

Ulberg · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Jan Blachowicz · Carlos Ulberg
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