METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
37%
Blachowicz
63%
Ulberg
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Carlos UlbergwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jan Blachowicz · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ulberg
→
Actual result
Ulberg wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Ulberg holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Blachowicz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Blachowicz's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BlachowiczUlberg
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
78"+
Reach
77"
43
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.0
73.9
51.8
Performance Avg
68.2
48
Quality of Victory
53
20
Momentum Score
100
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
7.8
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
7.6
4.5
Style: Volume
4.2
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
11
7
Body
2
10
Leg
18
RangeRange
25Distance31
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/40 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
10-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blachowicz
Ulberg
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.8
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
BlachowiczUlberg
Strike Zones
Blachowicz
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedUlberg
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blachowicz targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Ulberg absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Ulberg targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blachowicz
RND
Ulberg
0/0R00/0
Blachowicz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
Upcoming
Bogdan GuskovDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
Ulberg · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jiri ProchazkaKO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Volkan OezdemirDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05