UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Sao Paulo, Brazil
7 Nov 2015
Featherweight
VS
41%
Souza
59%
Skelly
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:56
ES
Edimilson Souza
"Kevin"
15 – 5
6'0"74" reachOrthodox41 yrsStriker
CFR 24
CS
Chas Skelly
"The Scrapper"
19 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak41 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'11"
CFR 34

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Skelly

This is a genuine toss-up — Souza at 41% vs Skelly at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Souza
Skelly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
72"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Souza
Skelly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.6
34.0
58.0
Performance Avg
56.6
47
Quality of Victory
46
96
Momentum Score
75
Souza
Skelly
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
36%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Souza
Skelly
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Souza
Skelly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/20 fights
Chin rating based on
12/22 fights
Souza
Skelly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
75
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Souza
Skelly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Souza
Skelly
Striking8.2 / 4.0Volume4.2 / 3.5Grappling0.8 / 4.6Wrestling0.6 / 3.2Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure6.9 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Souza
Strike Zones
Skelly
Souza
Attacking
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Skelly
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD1BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (92% of attacks) — Skelly absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Souza
RND
Skelly
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Souza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L2013-092014-052015-032015-11
WinLossTrend

Skelly · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.2W6.0L5.0W5.2W4.0L4.5W5.2W2014-042015-022016-092019-092022-02
WinLossTrend

Souza · Last 4

L · Sub · R2
Chas SkellyRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
W · KO · R2
Mark EddivaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Felipe ArantesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09

Skelly · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Mark StrieglRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan GriffinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Upcoming
Bobby Moffett
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · KO · R3
Jason KnightRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · Sub · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02

News & Media

Edimilson Souza · Chas Skelly
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