METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Sao Paulo, Brazil
7 Nov 2015
Featherweight
VS
41%
Souza
59%
Skelly
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:56
★ Official Result
Chas SkellywinsSubmissionR2 · 1:56
def. Edimilson Souza · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Skelly
→
Actual result
Skelly wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Souza at 41% vs Skelly at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SouzaSkelly
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Souza
Skelly
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
72"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Souza
Skelly
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.6
34.0
58.0
Performance Avg
56.6
47
Quality of Victory
46
96
Momentum Score
75
Souza
Skelly
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
0.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
36%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance0
0Clinch0
9Ground0
Souza
Skelly
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Souza
Skelly
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/20 fights
Chin rating based on
12/22 fights
Souza
Skelly
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
75
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Souza
Skelly
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Souza
Skelly
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
SouzaSkelly
Strike Zones
Souza
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSkelly
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Souza targets the head (92% of attacks) — Skelly absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Souza
RND
Skelly
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Souza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Skelly · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Souza · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Chas SkellyRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Katsunori KikunoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
W · KO · R2
Mark EddivaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Felipe ArantesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Bader · 2013-09
Skelly · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Mark StrieglRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Jordan GriffinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Upcoming
Bobby MoffettUFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · KO · R3
Jason KnightRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
W · Sub · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02