METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
49%
Pedro
51%
Craig
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:10
★ Official Result
Tyson PedrowinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:10
def. Paul Craig · UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Craig
→
Actual result
Pedro wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pedro at 49% vs Craig at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Pedro's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Craig has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PedroCraig
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pedro
Craig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
76"
34+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pedro
Craig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
49.1
56.6
Performance Avg
50.4
58
Quality of Victory
52
65
Momentum Score
46
Pedro
Craig
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.8
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
8.6
Style: Pressure
8.4
1.1
Style: Volume
0.9
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
2
3
Body
7
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance4
8Clinch8
11Ground0
Pedro
Craig
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
2
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pedro
Craig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
6
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Pedro
Craig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
46
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Pedro
Craig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
6
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pedro
Craig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
1.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
PedroCraig
Strike Zones
Pedro
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedCraig
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pedro targets the head (78% of attacks) — Craig absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Craig targets the body (58% of attacks) — Pedro absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pedro
RND
Craig
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Pedro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Craig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Modestas BukauskasKO/TKO
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Upcoming
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L · KO · R2
Caio BorralhoKO/TKO
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L · Sub · R3
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