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UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
Vancouver, Canada
11 Jun 2011
Middleweight
VS
33%
Munoz
67%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
MM
Mark Munoz
"The Filipino Wrecking Machine"
14 – 6
6'0"71" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'1"
CFR 32
β˜… Official Result
Mark MunozwinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Demian Maia Β· UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
β†’
Actual result
Munoz wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings β€” but Munoz has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Munoz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Munoz's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Maia has a chin rating of 38 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MunozMaia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Munoz
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+72"
48
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Munoz
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
32.4
48.3
Performance Avg
50.8
41
Quality of Victory
40
55
Momentum Score
100
Munoz
Maia
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
3
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance4
0Clinch4
2Ground0
Munoz
Maia
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.1
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Munoz
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
33/39 fights
Munoz
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
55
100
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Munoz
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
5
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Munoz
Maia
Striking5.6 / 1.8Volume5.6 / 5.0Grappling1.3 / 5.1Wrestling0.9 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.9 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Munoz
Strike Zones
Maia
Munoz
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Maia
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Munoz targets the head (73% of attacks) β€” Maia absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Maia targets the head (50% of attacks) β€” Munoz absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Munoz
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0

Munoz Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.1W2.9L4.5W1.5L1.5L1.5L4.5W2009-032010-082011-112014-052015-05
WinLossTrend

Maia Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Munoz Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R3
Luke BarnattRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber Β· 2015-05
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Roan CarneiroRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano Β· 2015-02
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi Β· 2014-05
L Β· KO Β· R1
Lyoto MachidaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz Β· 2013-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Tim BoetschRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman Β· 2013-07

Maia Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Β· 2021-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira Β· 2020-03
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren Β· 2019-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-06
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Β· 2019-02

News & Media

Mark Munoz Β· Demian Maia
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