UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
Vancouver, Canada
11 Jun 2011
Middleweight
VS
33%
Munoz
67%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maia
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Munoz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Munoz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Munoz's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Munoz
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+72"
48
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Munoz
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
32.4
48.3
Performance Avg
50.8
41
Quality of Victory
40
55
Momentum Score
100
Munoz
Maia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
3
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance4
0Clinch4
2Ground0
Munoz
Maia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.1
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Munoz
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
33/39 fights
Munoz
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Munoz
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
5
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Munoz
Maia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MunozMaia
Strike Zones
Munoz
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMaia
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Munoz targets the head (73% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Maia targets the head (50% of attacks) — Munoz absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Munoz
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0
Munoz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Munoz · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Luke BarnattRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Sub · R1
Roan CarneiroRating 1.5Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Sub · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Lyoto MachidaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 4.5Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02