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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
Vancouver, Canada
11 Jun 2011
Middleweight
VS
44%
Munoz
56%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
MM
Mark Munoz
"The Filipino Wrecking Machine"
14 – 6
6'0"71" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'1"
CFR 21
β˜… Official Result
Mark MunozwinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Demian Maia Β· UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
β†’
Actual result
Munoz wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Munoz at 44% vs Maia at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Munoz's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Maia has a chin rating of 38 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MunozMaia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Munoz
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+72"
48
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Munoz
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.9
20.6
48.3
Performance Avg
50.8
41
Quality of Victory
40
55
Momentum Score
100
Munoz
Maia
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
5.8
5.6
Style: Volume
5.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
3
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance4
0Clinch4
2Ground0
Munoz
Maia
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
11
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Munoz
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
38
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
33/39 fights
Munoz
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
55
100
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Munoz
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
55%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
5
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Munoz
Maia
Striking5.6 / 1.8Volume5.6 / 5.0Grappling1.3 / 5.1Wrestling0.9 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure4.9 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Munoz
Strike Zones
Maia
Munoz
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD4BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Maia
Attacking
4HEAD4BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Munoz targets the head (73% of attacks) β€” Maia absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Maia targets the head (50% of attacks) β€” Munoz absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Munoz
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0

Munoz Β· Last 5

W Β· Dec Β· R3
Luke Barnatt
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber Β· 2015-05
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Roan Carneiro
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano Β· 2015-02
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Gegard Mousasi
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi Β· 2014-05
L Β· KO Β· R1
Lyoto Machida
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz Β· 2013-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Tim Boetsch
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman Β· 2013-07

Maia Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Belal Muhammad
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Β· 2021-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Gilbert Burns
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira Β· 2020-03
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Ben Askren
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren Β· 2019-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Anthony Rocco Martin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-06
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Lyman Good
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Β· 2019-02

News & Media

Mark Munoz Β· Demian Maia
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