Aljamain Sterling vs Brett Johns — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee

Atlantic City, USA

21 Apr 2018

Bantamweight

74%

Sterling

26%

Johns

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Aljamain Sterling

"Funk Master"

26 – 5

5'7"71" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 54

Brett Johns

"The Pikey"

17 – 2

Well-Rounded2-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'7"

CFR 19

★ Official Result

Aljamain SterlingwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Brett Johns · UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Sterling

→

Actual result

Sterling wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Sterling is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Sterling's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

SterlingJohns

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Sterling

Johns

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"

Height

5'7"

71"

Reach

71"

Age

+34

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Sterling

Johns

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

54.2

18.9

54.2

Performance Avg

49.5

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Sterling

Johns

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.7

/ 10

1.4

/ 10

4.7

Style: Pressure

4.9

6.5

Style: Volume

6.2

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

6Distance3

13Clinch3

8Ground0

Sterling

Johns

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.2

/ 10

4.6

/ 10

2.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

3.3

2.2

Submission Style (/10)

4.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Sterling

Johns

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.5 stoppage

KO round context

—

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

23/31 fights

Chin rating based on

7/19 fights

Sterling

Johns

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 🔥 win streak

W · Dec · R5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Last 5

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Sterling

Johns

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

40%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Sterling

Johns

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.7

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.4

3.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

4.6

2.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

3.3

2.2

Submission

Submission attack frequency

4.0

4.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.9

6.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.2

Sterling

Strike Zones

Johns

Sterling

Attacking

27 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Johns

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

27 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Sterling targets the body (44% of attacks) — Johns absorbs 44% of strikes there

🎯Johns targets the head (83% of attacks) — Sterling absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Sterling

RND

Johns

0/0R00/0

Sterling · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Youssef Zalal

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04

W · Dec · R5

Brian Ortega

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

L · Dec · R3

Movsar Evloev

Decision

UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12

W · Dec · R3

Calvin Kattar

Decision

UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

L · KO · R2

Sean O'Malley

KO/TKO

UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Johns · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Montel Jackson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07

W · Sub · R3

Tony Gravely

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01

L · Dec · R3

Pedro Munhoz

Decision

UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08

L · Dec · R3

Aljamain Sterling

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04

W · Sub · R1

Joe Soto

Submission

The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12

News & Media

Aljamain Sterling · Brett Johns

← Back to fights