UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Jul 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
65%
Ribas
35%
VanZant
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ribas
Ribas holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but VanZant has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Ribas throws more volume but VanZant connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ribas's chin rating of 18 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
VanZant has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ribas
VanZant
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
66"+
Reach
65"
32
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ribas
VanZant
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.5
20.6
43.3
Performance Avg
49.2
36
Quality of Victory
45
28
Momentum Score
84
Ribas
VanZant
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
58%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
4
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Ribas
VanZant
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ribas
VanZant
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
18
62
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/20 fights
Chin rating based on
9/13 fights
Ribas
VanZant
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
84
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Ribas
VanZant
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ribas
VanZant
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
RibasVanZant
Strike Zones
Ribas
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedVanZant
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ribas targets the body (67% of attacks) — VanZant absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯VanZant targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Ribas absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ribas
RND
VanZant
0/0R00/0
Ribas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
VanZant · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Ribas · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Mackenzie DernRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · KO · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · KO · R2
Maycee BarberRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
VanZant · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Amanda RibasRating 1.6Submission
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · Sub · R2
Rachael OstovichRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Dec · R3
Jessica-Rose ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · 2018-01
L · Sub · R1
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · KO · R2
Bec RawlingsRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08